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Bucks vs. Pacers Prediction: Game 5 Odds & Expert Picks

Andrew Brennan

Last Updated: April 29, 2025 9:42 AM EDT • 2 min 48 sec read.

Bucks vs. Pacers Prediction: Game 5 Odds & Expert Picks, April 29
Pictured: Indiana Pacers guard Andrew Nembhard reacts after scoring against the Milwaukee Bucks. Photo by Benny Sieu via Imagn Images.

They say it's not over until the fat lady sings. Well, she's warming up her vocal cords as we make our Bucks vs. Pacers prediction for Game 5 tonight at 6 p.m. ET (NBA TV).

Unfortunately, after making his way back from a blood clot in his leg, Damian Lillard tore his Achilles in Game 4 of this series, and the Bucks subsequently fell apart on their home court. That 26-point defeat was the most lopsided result of this series, and I expect the Pacers to win by double digits once again tonight.

With the series shifting back to Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis, the Pacers serve as 7.5 or 8-point betting favorites, and we could see that line grow as the day progresses. I fully expect these to be the last NBA picks we offer for this series, so if you want to bet on Giannis Antetokounmpo and Co. one last time, get your bets in now.

We're also offering three Bucks vs. Pacers player props for this affair.

💰 Bucks vs. Pacers expert picks for Game 5

🔎 Our NEW NBA player prop odds tool can help you find the best NBA odds across legal sportsbooks in your area!

✅ Against the spread pick: Pacers -7.5 (-112 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐
✅ Moneyline pick: Pacers (-340 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
✅ Over/Under pick: Over 222 (-110 via Caesars) ⭐⭐⭐

🏀 Game 5 prediction & best bet

🎯 Score prediction: Pacers 118, Bucks 108

We saw how the Bucks responded to Dame's injury in Game 4, and that was in Milwaukee. Now, back in Indianapolis, why would we expect the result to be any different?

It's not as though Lillard was providing the Bucks with a ton of scoring - he shot the ball poorly in both full games he played - but he did give the team a big boost with his leadership and, as silly as it sounds, his aura. His ability to score for fun forced the Pacers to pay extra defensive attention to at least one other person on the court besides Giannis.

Lillard's absence now puts more pressure not only on the Bucks superstar but also the likes of Gary Trent Jr. and Kyle Kuzma. In Game 4, those two combined for nine points on 3-for-12 shooting.

We can make this much simpler, though, by just acknowledging that the Bucks are cooked. We saw the Miami Heat completely give up on their home court last night after being blown out in Game 3, and I expect a similarly sad performance by Milwaukee tonight.

As far as this game's total, it should be said that the pace slowed down in Game 4 compared to the two contests that Lillard played, more so resembling Game 1. So you could make an argument for the Under being the play. However, after opening around 225, I think this total has dropped too far for a game featuring a hungry Pacers team that will keep its foot on the gas to close things out at home.

✅ Best bet: Pacers -7.5 (-112 via DraftKings)

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📈 Bucks vs. Pacers odds

Live updated odds from our best sports betting sites.

🪧 Game 5 opening odds

Opening odds via BetMGM.

  • Spread: Bucks +7.5 (-110) | Pacers -7.5 (-110)
  • Moneyline: Bucks +225 | Pacers -278
  • Over/Under: Over 225.5 (-110) | Under 225.5 (-110)

🚑 Bucks vs. Pacers injury report

Follow the official NBA injury report for more injury news.

📡 How to watch Bucks vs. Pacers live (Game 5)

📅 Tuesday, April 29
🕗 6 p.m. ET
📍 Gainbridge Fieldhouse (Indianapolis)
📺 NBA TV | 🛜 FUBO

🔮Today's NBA expert picks

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Written By:
Andrew Brennan
Andrew Brennan is a publishing editor for Sportsbook Review. He also heads the website’s MLB coverage, from the various futures markets to daily picks. Andrew believes a math-based approach is the best way to enjoy long-term success in sports betting, and he’s spent the better part of the last year fine-tuning his own process for MLB, NBA, and NFL picks. Andrew uses eight different sportsbooks to find the best odds available and various projection models to gather as much information as he can. His most used sportsbooks are bet365, FanDuel, and theScore Bet. When it comes to daily projection models, he regularly references NumberFire across all sports, as it’s one of the best free tools available. In terms of which daily markets Andrew attacks, he almost exclusively bets on pitcher strikeouts for baseball. When the winter rolls around, you’ll see him providing more variety when it comes to the NBA (points, assists, rebounds) and NFL (almost any offensive-based player prop). He used these tools to go +150 units in 2023. Andrew is also a passionate fantasy sports player. He’s played fantasy football, fantasy Premier League, and fantasy baseball for the last decade. He graduated from Durham College with his diploma in journalism after earning his degree in law from Carleton University. He’s worked in sports media since early 2017, first contributing at FanSided before moving to theScore. He joined SBR in 2022.